Two reasons why APC’s crushing defeat in Anambra may not happen in Imo and Ebonyi states

After the crushing defeat, the All Progressive Congress (APC) suffered in the Anambra governorship election, a lot of reactions have been trailing why they suffered such defeat despite the effort they put into the Anambra election.

You will recall that a chieftain of the APC, Uche Nwosu, blamed APC’s defeat in Anambra on the failure of the leadership of the party to reward the founding members of the party in the Southeast region. Even though Nwosu’s concerns about his party may be a valid concern to him, there are others who believe APC does not have popularity in the entire Southeast region, that is why they were easily defeated by APGA in Anambra State.

Considering the claim that APC is not popular among the people of the Southeast, will this affect the position of the party in Imo and Ebonyi state, the two Southeast states currently under its control, ahead of the governorship election in these states?

In my opinion, there are two reasons why APC may not suffer what it suffered in the Anambra governorship election, in Imo and Ebonyi states.

First is the incumbency factor. APC is the incumbent government in these two states. It will be foolhardy of any political analysts to underrate the power of incumbency in any election even if the political party in power is not popular in the region.

Secondly, APGA does not have the same popularity it has in Anambra, in Imo and Ebonyi states.

The popularity of APGA in Anambra obviously played a huge role in their victorious outcome at the governorship election. But they do not have the same privilege in Imo and Ebonyi, where they have never won a governorship election. In fact, a former governorship candidate of the APC, Rochas Okorocha has won Imo for APC in the past.

This may give the current Governor, Hope Uzodinma, the confidence to go into the next governorship election and probably secure reelection. Meanwhile, PDP was the dominant political party in Ebonyi before the defection of Governor Dave Umahi. But one key thing that may help APC continue to govern the state after 2023 is Governor Umahi’s performance.